ETH just hit 1991.68 with -3.33% daily bleed, but the real asymmetric setup is here: if we hold above 1980 through tomorrow's close, the risk/reward flips hard—limited downside to 1950 against potential 2100+ bounce. I'm watching the 4h close; that's my trigger. The odds favor capitulation sellers right now, which means the smart money entry is asymmetric to the upside if support holds.