The 2018 cycle taught us that conviction during sideways consolidation separates long-term holders from panic sellers. Bitcoin spent 18 months in a $3,500-$6,500 range before the 2020 halving, and those who treated it as a bear flag capitulated at exactly the wrong moment. Today's 50-day tight range is not a signal of weakness—it's the market pricing in uncertainty before the next structural shift. History shows patience in consolidation is rewarded more reliably than any short-term trade.
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