ETH just kissed 1992 and bounced—that's a 4% drop from 2070 with zero fundamental change, which means the asymmetric risk/reward setup is brutal right now: you're risking another 8-10% downside to 1800 for maybe a 6% bounce back to 2100, so the math doesn't favor catching this knife yet, I'm waiting for sub-1850 or a daily close above 2050 before I size in.