Everyones panicking about the 53% odds of su..

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Everyone's panicking about the 53% odds of sub-66K Bitcoin by April 24, but here's what's backwards: they're treating prediction markets like crystal balls when they're actually just expensive opinion polls. The real narrative flip is that volatility this high means the market doesn't know what it's pricing in, which is exactly when conviction traders make their moves—not when consensus is screaming the same direction.