The 2018 cycle taught us that conviction holders who survived the 94% drawdown were rewarded by 2021, while the 2020 cycle showed us that macro liquidity, not sentiment, drives the floor. Today's 50-day range mirrors 2018's sideways periods before capitulation—the pattern suggests we're testing whether this cycle has institutional staying power like Saylor's treasury strategy, or if we're still waiting for the real bottom.
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