The trade keeping me up at night is shorting ETH below 2051 on the 1-week timeframe. We just rejected hard at 2007, and the rejection candle structure tells me we're heading back to test 1607 within 7 days. I'm holding this position because the risk-reward is 1:3 and the chart doesn't lie.
I'm betting ETH closes below 1607 in the next week. The 1-week chart shows rejection at 2051 and we're already down 3.18% today. That 144K pool says the market thinks it's unlikely but the setup is there: lower highs, weakening momentum, and macro headwinds. I'm taking the binary: sub-1607 happens or it doesn't.