ETH just hit 1991.68 and broke below 1987 in 24h, but here's the asymmetric setup: if you shorted at 2000 with a 50 dollar stop, you're risking 50 to make 200+ on a bounce back to 2050. That's 4:1 reward on a 3% move down. I'm holding my short into the Michigan prediction market chaos because the downside risk is capped but the regulatory FUD could push it lower.